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Super Rugby Betting Preview

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It’s the final round of super rugby’s very bad thought-over conference system, I thought I’d double your joy and share my betting tips for this weekend.

My credentials you ask?

Known as #theChosenOne to the blokes that does the exceptional job of picking “the team of the week” and a highly underrated WhatsApp group, accumulator of 12 GSP’s and mastering a 31 game streak on Superbru (till the Bulls decided they need a new coach and lost to The Sunwolves).

Here we go…

Kings vs Cheetahs

The match no one at the start of the season thought would be the exhibition (read graduation) match of two teams going on their gap year to Europe next year, they grow up so fast. To be honest, I’m not the biggest fan of one of them…

Right, ladies and gentlemen in the one corner we have the Cheetahs: defending Currie Cup Champions and renowned for having Kardashian sized meltdowns after 60 minutes. Chucking away two 20+ point leads, and that against New Zealand sides, nogal.

What can I say about the Kings? Playing some really good rugby at the moment. Winning 5 of their last 7 games, 3 of those at the death. Proof that they don’t give up. The Kings being the more in-form side at the moment and the season for that matter, I can’t see the Cheetahs beating them.

That being said, the Cheetahs really do enjoy spoiling the party and for that reason I’m going straight win for the Kings. No margins etc.

My betting angle:

Full time result- Kings at 0.75/1 (WSB)

Sunwolves vs Blues

Unless the pups can spring a surprise, they are in for a pakslae. You can put your kids through varsity with this game and all the angles. The Sunwolves with a wooden spoon winning 7 log points, only managing a streak-killing one win vs the Bulls this season they’ll need a French ref to win this (settle down All Black fan and welcome to the club).

The Blues managing to win 7/14 and a draw, they won’t be going to the play-offs. I expect their players to show up and put on a huge show in the hopes that Steve Hansen remembers them come Championship time. Unfortunately the teams isn’t available by the time I’m writing this, so it’s a margin call for now.

My betting angle:

Blues 31-40 @ 3.3/1 (WSB)

Side note:

By now your accumulator should be in the region of 57/1

Chiefs vs Brumbies

Another dead rubber match as far as play-offs are concerned with both teams already qualifying.

The Chiefs will have a 5 pointer in mind thou, with the Canes playing the Crusaders and only being one point behind the Canes this could mean the difference between travelling to Newlands to play the mighty Stormers or travelling to Canberra for a reverse fixture of this game should the Canes loose. With no team sheets available and much talk of both teams resting players it won’t be a blow out as we expect or wish for.

My betting angle:

Chiefs -15.5 @ 0.7/1 (WSB)

Hurricanes vs Crusaders 

The “feed your craving after the B&I Lions tour” game, with All Blacks everywhere. Again both teams still in it to win it, but with lots of logistics involved as far as who goes where, when.

So, Hurricanes needs to win this to avoid facing the mighty Stormers at Newlands, instead of the much softer Brumbies as things stand. The Crusaders, log toppers, pacesetters, undefeated do what needed to done to stay at the top team also needs to win this to make sure they finish numero uno. Should they lose this one and the Lions beat the Sharks they risk travelling to possibility the Lion’s den for the final if both win their home Semi’s. Not impossible…

All the NZ derby matches involving the Crusaders this season have been settled by margins of 9 points or less.

My Betting Angle:

Full time result – Crusaders @ 1.1/1 (WSB)

Force vs Waratahs

Ughh Aussie derby. Won’t be betting on this. My superbru call, Waratahs by 3.

My Betting Angle:

Full time Result – Waratahs @ 0.75/1 (WSB)

Bulls vs Stormers

Good old north south Derby. Rivalry as old as time. My MIGHTY Stormers travel up north to the fortress known as Loftus. Sounds exciting, doesn’t it. Problem is, Loftus hasn’t been a fortress for a while now, the Stormers not so mighty.

This will be the last game for the Bulls this season, one they will like to forget faster than that one night at varsity they got free dop. Going down to the Kings last week 31-30 after trailing 22-3 at some point, they showed some fight. The Bulls being the Bulls, I won’t write them off completely.

Flipside of the coin, the Stormers won their last 2 games after the break (all be it the Cheetahs and Sunwolves) and started building moment for the play-offs. Some issues on defense is a worry, with a Springbok center pair that didn’t play too bad against France face off the young Contender EW Viljoen and Damian De Duminy. This should be a good game.

Stormers will be looking at a good clinical performance and sort out defensive structures ahead of the play-offs, I expect a much more focused side to arrive at Loftus.

My betting angle:

Stormers – 4.5 @ 0.9/1 (WSB)

Sharks vs Lions

With top spot up for grabs, should the Hurricanes beat the Crusaders, I ask you to join me in saying “Same man, Sharks”. Lions should win this comfortably. Both Qualifying for the play-offs and there being a 19 log points gap between the 2 teams, I have n sneaky feeling the Sharks won’t be fielding their strongest side vs the Lions coming off a bye, playing the whipping boys before that and top spot up for grabs and another bye with the first playoff round. Lions will be fielding all their big guns in the name of continuity. Lions met BAIE!!

My betting angle:

Lions by 31 or more @ 6/1 (WSB)

Side note: teams isn’t out yet so the odds might be lower closer to the game.

WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THIS WEEKEND’S ACTION? TELL US IN THE COMMENTS BELOW

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Written for The Pundits by @p13rretjie

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